An evolving roadmap of AIFollow the evidence.
See where the road leads.
Who is building, who controls the resources, and what their actions change. Your questions guide the investigation. Evidence determines the conclusions.
Latest published assessment · Free to readWhere is AI headed?
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Independent research baselineStanford AI Index
The annual research baseline for capability, investment, adoption, responsible AI and policy. Use it alongside current events to test the direction of the road.
Checking Stanford for the latest edition…Latest-edition check updates automatically. The report itself is annual; this is not a real-time numerical score.
Infrastructure↗ Expansion commitmentsSigned agreements and proposed builds support this direction. Completion must be verified.
Global capability↔ More than one centerUS and Chinese capabilities need comparison across tasks, resources and deployment.
Accountability? Evidence still mattersA safety promise or open release does not establish safe behavior in practice.
Power is distributed across dependencies.
Control of one layer does not confer control of the whole system. Select a row to investigate its supporting actions.
| Key | US / international network | China network | What this controls |
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This is a starting institutional map, not an exhaustive ownership registry. Relationships require dated evidence before being treated as control.
Three directions to keep testing
No invented probabilities. A direction strengthens only when its observable indicators do.
Path 01Infrastructure-led acceleration
Major laboratories scale through chip, cloud and energy partnerships.
Strengthens ifCommitted sites become operational; inference becomes cheaper; deployment grows.
Weakens ifFinancing stalls, power becomes limiting, or reliability prevents adoption.
Path 02Capability spreads across borders
Open weights and competing research reduce dependence on one laboratory or country.
Strengthens ifIndependent reproductions and production use match headline performance.
Weakens ifCompute restrictions, licensing or operational costs limit practical access.
Path 03Permission becomes the constraint
Governments shape which systems can be deployed, traded or used in sensitive settings.
Strengthens ifEnforcement, export decisions and procurement materially alter company conduct.
Weakens ifCommitments remain symbolic or oversight cannot independently verify them.
Confidence in a claim. Accountability for an action.
We assess documented conduct in a specific domain. Technical skill, transparency and safety performance are separate questions. Missing evidence is not proof of dishonesty.
Current reports through your lens
Fresh reporting is an input to investigate. A headline is not automatically accepted as fact or used to change a conclusion.
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